Power of the crowds — you need many fans to become a president of France
Few days ago we predicted that Benoît Hamon would become the presidential candidate of the ruling French Socialists.
Yesterday was the first part of the primary, and yes, Hamon won, as we had said.
Hamon’s victory was a surprise to many, but not for us, as we were just looking at the social media engagement data of the candidates.
Even though it would be lovely to enjoy the glory of the future-teller, we did not get everything right. We said that Vincent Peillon would become second. And he became 4th. It was a fail.
Valls got elected to the final round by sheer power of the crowds.
After analysing the data, we realised that Peillon has only 70 206 followers on social media when earlier favourite Manuel Valls is followed by more than half million people. Valls got elected to the final round by sheer power of the crowds.
In the graph, you’ll find all the remaining candidates to become president of France. As we see, the follower number does not correlate with Underhood score — at least in this case. But Hammon won Valls yesterday with only half of the fans on social media. We assume it was the engagement and devotion by Hammon’s audience that got him the most votes.
A few days ago someone commented on Underhood’s Facebook page: “Peillon? Nobody knows him!”
The commentator was right. It is hard to become a president if no one knows you.
If we look only at the number of fans on social media, Marine Le Pen is the next president of France. Which might mean the end of EU as we know it.
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